Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.111698 1.320805 1.539498 1.783765 2.047553 2.322543 2.629619
2025-02-02 0.875911 1.178986 1.515369 1.909897 2.354089 2.833659 3.385765
2025-02-09 0.761811 1.118364 1.530043 2.027627 2.601534 3.233210 3.972206
2025-02-16 0.651712 1.044368 1.515491 2.100875 2.790527 3.562126 4.476880
2025-02-23 0.543945 0.955332 1.468394 2.122883 2.909057 3.801516 4.871790
2025-03-02 0.416379 0.822431 1.353443 2.051720 2.908715 3.896871 5.096311
2025-03-09 0.307694 0.697937 1.236041 1.966409 2.882204 3.954205 5.270343
2025-03-16 0.233590 0.610813 1.158387 1.923204 2.900173 4.058401 5.493846
2025-03-23 0.194579 0.572070 1.142474 1.956154 3.009356 4.269033 5.840292
2025-03-30 0.154117 0.523041 1.107089 1.959754 3.079062 4.430217 6.126811
2025-04-06 0.113053 0.463172 1.050029 1.929908 3.103148 4.533706 6.342854
2025-04-13 0.100322 0.456737 1.072412 2.007869 3.264752 4.804689 6.758752
2025-04-20 0.090229 0.456623 1.108114 2.110282 3.466174 5.134648 7.258234
2025-04-27 0.083737 0.463828 1.155900 2.230988 3.693469 5.499184 7.802828
2025-05-04 0.080337 0.477372 1.213316 2.364820 3.937450 5.883896 8.371255
2025-05-11 0.068797 0.467645 1.231579 2.442328 4.107399 6.177037 8.829559
2025-05-18 0.052001 0.438000 1.214163 2.466880 4.206367 6.381153 9.179559
2025-05-25 0.028196 0.372556 1.129477 2.389434 4.166939 6.410307 9.315388
2025-06-01 0.011300 0.308210 1.038318 2.296812 4.103058 6.405615 9.407264
2025-06-08 0.003621 0.265144 0.980240 2.249785 4.097535 6.471820 9.583210
2025-06-15 0.001423 0.250754 0.976464 2.285642 4.205166 6.681903 9.936314
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.228064 0.953236 2.289555 4.267708 6.833685 10.216973
2025-06-29 NaN 0.197216 0.908604 2.257086 4.278021 6.917254 10.412251